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澳元因澳联储加息预期而走强，霍尔木兹紧张局势酝酿。澳元因澳联储加息预期而走强，霍尔木兹紧张局势酝酿

Australian Dollar gathers strength on RBA rate hike expectations, Hormuz tensions simmer.Australian Dollar gathers strength on RBA rate hike expectations, Hormuz tensions simmer

伊朗阿齐齐警告称，美国对霍尔木兹的干涉将被视为违反停火协议。伊朗阿齐齐警告称，美国对霍尔木兹的干涉将被视为违反停火协议

Iran's Azizi warns US interference in Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire.Iran's Azizi warns US interference in Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire

石油新闻：在海峡开放之前，欧佩克增产不会影响市场。欧佩克+提高了6月份的产量，但在霍尔木兹海峡关闭期间，这毫无意义。谈判陷入僵局，库存减少是真实的，风险仍然偏向上行。

Oil News: OPEC Production Hike Won't Move Market Until Strait Opens.OPEC+ raised output for June but it means nothing while the Strait of Hormuz stays closed. The talks are stalled, inventory draws are real, and the risk stays skewed to the upside.

2026年5月油价预测：荷兰合作银行称100美元的油价低估了供应危机。油价较近期高点略有回落，但荷兰合作银行警告称，市场仍低估了全球供应中断的规模和持续时间。WTI原油价格（以美元计）在102.50美元左右，在经历了4月份的波动后回落，而布伦特原油价格在100美元附近徘徊，尽管现货供应紧张。

Oil Price Forecast May 2026: Rabobank Says $100 Oil Underpricing Supply Crisis.Oil prices have eased slightly from recent highs, but Rabobank warns markets are still underestimating the scale and duration of the global supply disruption. The WTI crude oil price in US dollars is trading around $102.50, pulling back after a volatile April, while Brent has hovered near the $100 mark despite tight physical.